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What is the Probability That We're Living in a Simulation?

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What is the Probability That We’re Living in a Simulation? The mind-bending math and logic behind your possible pixelated life Could your morning coffee, your favorite playlist, or even this very sentence be part of an elaborate simulation? The question of whether we are living in a computer-generated reality has moved from sci-fi musings to serious philosophical debate. This post breaks down the actual probability framework behind simulation theory—not just the thought experiment, but the math that makes some philosophers take it seriously. The Simulation Argument, Simplified In 2003, philosopher Nick Bostrom proposed a trilemma that shook modern philosophy: The Great Filter : Most civilizations go extinct before becoming technologically mature. The Disinterest Hypothesis : Advanced civilizations have no interest in ancestor simulations. The Simulation Hypothesis : We are almost certainly living in a simulation. If options 1 and 2 are false, option 3 must be true. But how do we asse...

What’s the best way to run a simulation of the next five years?

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What’s the best way to run a simulation of the next five years? 9 November 2024|Artificial Intelligence, Business Growth, Change, Data Analytics, Decision Making, Forecasting, Goal Setting, Planning, Question a Day, Strategy, Uncertainty, Vision Question a Day How to Run a Simulation of the Next Five Years: A Guide Running a simulation of the next five years can help businesses, investors, and individuals anticipate potential outcomes based on trends, market conditions, and specific variables. Simulation modeling can help with long-term planning, risk management, and scenario analysis, offering insights into what may lie ahead. Here’s a guide to effectively running a five-year simulation, including the tools, techniques, and steps to take. 1. Define Your Goals and Objectives Before setting up a simulation, it’s essential to clarify what you want to achieve. Ask yourself: What are the key questions you’re trying to answer?  (e.g., Will my business remain profitable in the next five ...