What is the Probability That We're Living in a Simulation?
What is the Probability That We’re Living in a Simulation? The mind-bending math and logic behind your possible pixelated life Could your morning coffee, your favorite playlist, or even this very sentence be part of an elaborate simulation? The question of whether we are living in a computer-generated reality has moved from sci-fi musings to serious philosophical debate. This post breaks down the actual probability framework behind simulation theory—not just the thought experiment, but the math that makes some philosophers take it seriously. The Simulation Argument, Simplified In 2003, philosopher Nick Bostrom proposed a trilemma that shook modern philosophy: The Great Filter : Most civilizations go extinct before becoming technologically mature. The Disinterest Hypothesis : Advanced civilizations have no interest in ancestor simulations. The Simulation Hypothesis : We are almost certainly living in a simulation. If options 1 and 2 are false, option 3 must be true. But how do we asse...