Why Do We Love Statistics That Aren’t Relevant?
Why Do We Love Statistics That Aren’t Relevant? We are drawn to statistics because patterns make an uncertain world feel predictable, even when those patterns have little connection to what happens next. An impressive percentage gives a claim authority. A long streak suggests consistency, while several decimal places create the impression of careful measurement. Yet none of these qualities establishes whether the information is relevant to a decision. The important distinction is between describing what happened and explaining why it happened. Historical statistics become useful when the relationships behind them help us understand present conditions. When those relationships are missing or no longer apply, even perfectly accurate numbers can mislead. Why Numbers Make Patterns Convincing People naturally search for relationships in their surroundings. Recognizing meaningful patterns helps us understand and respond to events, but the same tendency can make coincidence look like evidence...